|Our special Super Bowl issue of Point Spread Weekly is out today. Predictions and favorite prop bets from all your favorite VSiN personalities. More than xx pages of stats and analysis on the Big Game. It’s just $9.99. Buy here.
Super Bowl 53 . . .
Jeff Fogle offers his take on all the talk about the current line of -2.5 (at most Vegas shops) vs. the number 3 (currently at William Hill and the Golden Nugget).
You’ve heard a lot about the “key number” of 3 through early Super Bowl market coverage. The general public (and some sharps) like New England at -2.5 or better vs. the Los Angeles Rams this Sunday (CBS, 6:30 p.m. ET). Stores that have tested 3 see Rams money race to the window. That’s the majority of sharps. But, in Las Vegas, a lot of public money races too because LA is nearby.
Does the 3 really matter that much? Or is it just more hype in a fortnight of non-stop exclamation points?
Jeff’s full story here
Brent’s take on CBS not addressing sports betting during the Super Bowl telecast was picked up by the New York Post. “It’s real, it’s happening and you’re sticking your head in the sand if you’re an executive and you don’t at least address it,” Brent said.
Maybe it’s a good thing CBS is leaving the betting talk Sunday to VSiN’s BetCast.
Quarterback-turned-CBS prognosticator Tony Romo says the Super Bowl will end 28-24 and the team that loses will have the ball last. He did not pick a winner.
Well, at least that is helpful info if you are betting the total.
VSiN weekend host Michael Lombardi gets the ultimate compliment and plug from none other than Rams coach Sean McVay in this piece from NBC’s Peter King, who is interviewing McVay while driving to the team’s practice facility.
King: “What would you be doing right now if you were alone in the car?”
McVay: “Maybe calling my parents, or friends back east. Probably, I’d be listening to a book on tape that my grandfather [former Niners executive John McVay] got me: Mike Lombardi’s ‘Gridiron Genius.’ It’s focused on Bill Walsh and Bill Belichick—Mike worked for both of them. It’s got a lot of great stuff. I’ve read all Bill Walsh’s books just based on my grandfather’s history and so much of what we do stems from a lot of the things that they did. But now I’ve gotten to know Bill [Belichick]—we talked at the combine last year—so that’s been cool.”
Michael will be in Las Vegas this weekend to help with our Super Bowl coverage, including VSiN’s Betting & Buds with Brent event on Friday at the South Point.
Catch Michael’s segment with Gill on Tuesday’s A Numbers Game.
Go inside how the Westgate SuperBook made nearly 450 Super Bowl props:
In a man cave 25 miles west of the glitz and glamour of the Las Vegas strip on a Tuesday, three oddsmakers are gathered around a brown leather sectional couch. Laptops, stacks of box scores and legal-sized packets of betting odds are strewn about. Above the oddsmakers’ heads is a framed Vince Lombardi picture with the quote: "Winning isn’t everything. Making the effort to win is."
Full story by ESPN’s Doug Kezirian, who stopped by the VSiN studio last week while he was reporting the piece.
Dave Tuley’s ATS report . . .
NHL underdogs (all on the road) went 3-0 with the Sabres +150, Jets +135 and Flyers +100 all pulling upsets; Overs went 2-1; 1st period Overs went 2-1 but an even better 1-0 with the only #FollowtheMoney5 Over team in action (Blue Jackets).
NBA underdogs went 4-3 ATS, highlighted by Pelicans’ 121-116 upset of Rockets as 13.5-point road dogs & +850 on money line; Overs went 6-1 with only Under in PHI-LAK nightcap; also, Gill Alexander’s #tankapalooza started with ML parlay on BKN/SA (fading CHI/PHX).
Get your Tankapalooza shirt now from the VSiN store.
Top 25 CBB: No. 1 Tennessee routed South Carolina 92-70 and covered as 8.5-point road favorite; No. 3 Virginia needed OT to get by North Carolina St. 66-65 and did NOT cover as 7-point road fave; Texas beat No. 11 Kansas 73-63 as 1.5-point home fave. Alabama beat No. 22 Miss. St. 83-79 but again it wasn’t an upset as Tide was 2.5-point home fave; rest of the Top 25 (No. 5 Mich., No. 7 UK, No. 8 Nevada, No. 9 UNC, No. 18 Buf., No. 21 MD., No. 24 Wisky) all covered.
Seen & Heard on VSiN
On My Guys in the Desert, WIlliam Hill’s Nick Bogdanovich offers his opinion on the Super Bowl handle and line movement.
"We’re not close to touching 3 at this point." SuperBook manager Jeff Sherman, talking to Mitch & Pauly, on the Westgate’s current Super Bowl position.
SiriusXM NBA host Mitch Lawrence — with JVT and Erin Rynning on The Edge