|Busy weekend here at VSiN. Here is what you should know:
- Our 24-7 video stream is free, starting today through Monday. We have special programming all weekend, including Sunday’s Championship Game BetCast, so check our broadcast schedule. Help us spread the word about this free weekend. Please tweet this link.
- The Super Bowl issue of Point Spread Weekly has predictions and best prop bets from VSiN’s personalities and experts, plus more than 20 pages of stats and analysis. It’s only $9.99, and you can buy it here.
- Betting & Buds with Brent happens tonight. If you are in Las Vegas, stop by the South Point and say hello. Details here.
The Super Bowl market report . . . is picking up speed
As Gill Alexander first reported Thursday night, the MGM took a $2 million bet on the Super Bowl.
No details beyond that, although the number didn’t move at the MGM (as of midnight Pacific), which some would suggest means the bet was on the Rams.
The Wynn is the first Vegas book since the number settled last week to move to Pats -2. William Hill and the Golden Nugget are still at -3. Everyone else is at -2.5.
The total is currently a unanimous 56.6. Follow the lines across Vegas here.
Revealing chart on betting trends at William Hill books by ESPN’s Ben Fawkes
Sun., Jan. 20:
94% of all spread $$ on the Patriots
99% of ML $$
Thurs., Jan. 24
86% on NE
Mon., Jan. 28
57% on NE
56% ML $$ on LAR
Wed., Jan 30
51% on NE
73% ML $$ on NE
From Doug Zezirian of ESPN: Comical Super Bowl ticket counts at Westgate SuperBook on very public prop bets:
- Yes on Def or Spec Team TD: 81-0
- Yes on 2-pt conv attempted: 139-2
- Yes on successful 2-pt conv: 99-0
- Yes on Gronk to score TD: 67-0
Super Bowl analysis . . .
How good are the Los Angeles Rams?
Jeff Fogle asks the question and, as always has some answers . . .
Betting markets overshot the mark much of the season on the up-and-coming league power. Has public sentiment for Tom Brady and the New England Patriots moved the market too far the other way heading into Sunday’s Super Bowl (CBS, 6:30 p.m. ET)?
Through much of 2018, the market was pricing the Rams as one of the best teams of the last decade.
Full story here. (Jeff will take on the Pats tomorrow.)
Tuley’s ATS report . . .
NBA underdogs went 4-2 ATS with Bucks & 76ers pulling upsets of Raptors & Warriors, respectively. Unders also 4-2. Philly rallied in 2nd half to win 113-104, snapping 10-game losing streak to GSW: 76ers were 8-point road underdogs & +300 on money line (stayed way Under 240).
The other big news was LeBron James’ return and Lakers covering as 2-point road favorites in a 123-120 OT win over the Clippers, who opened -5.5 and were down to -4 when news broke & Lakers were bet to favoritism.
NHL underdogs went 2-1 as Flyers and Rangers pulled upsets; Overs also 2-1; 1st period Overs went 3-0, including Blue Jackets (the only #FollowtheMoney5 team in action, though many pointed out Devils are closing in on Top 5 & also went Over).
CBB Top 25: No. 4 Gonzaga routs BYU 93-63, covering as 14.5-point road favorite; earlier, No. 17 Purdue escaped with 99-90 win at Penn St. in OT, covering as 7-point road faves; No. 13 Houston beat Temple 73-66 but did NOT cover as 9.5-point home fave.
Industry news you can use . . .
Nevada no longer has a monopoly on legalized sports betting, but it hasn’t shown signs of cannibalization yet from the other states as it won a record $301 million from sports bettors in 2018 from a record handle of $5.01 billion.
Dave Tuley dives into the numbers here.
FYI: Nevada casinos’ net win in 2018 posted by David Purdum from the same Nevada Gaming Report:
- Penny slots: $3.3 billion
- Baccarat: $1.2 billion
- Blackjack: $1.1 billion
- Craps: $386.4 million
- Roulette: $384.1 million
- Sports: $301.0 million
This illustrates why we here at VSiN are so appreciative of the space we have at the South Point — space that could be used for slot machines!
Seen & Heard at VSiN
On A Numbers Game, Gill had his final Football Free-For-All with Bill Krackomberger and Warren Sharp.
Point Spread Weekly editor Steve Makinen hits the highlights in this week’s special issue.
San Francisco radio host Joe Fortenbaugh offers his top Super Bowl prop bets.
Gaming Today columnist Andy Iskoe discusses his philosophy for betting Super Bowl props, and which plays are on his radar.
Gill has his regular fantasy expert, Todd Wright, run through some Super Bowl props he’s betting this weekend.
Vinny Magliulo explains the South Point’s reasoning, now that the book has posted numbers on its Todd Gurley props.
With the news that New Jersey has authorized Oscar Awards betting, Mitch & Pauly express serious concern about Vegas’ ability to retain its share of the betting market.
Kristaps Porzingis is a Maverick, and lifelong Knicks fan Duane Colucci of the Rampart sports book has his initial reaction to the trade.
Ron Flatter on horse racing . . .
Saturday’s three Kentucky Derby points preps – the Holy Bull, Withers and Robert B. Lewis – are previewed and handicapped on the Ron Flatter Racing Pod. Trainer Butch Reid discusses his Derby hopeful Maximus Mischief, the favorite in the Holy Bull. South Point sports book director Chris Andrews talks about a lifetime of betting on everything from claimers to classics.
Hidden Scroll became the buzz horse after his 14-length maiden win last week. But is he worth a bet at 12-1 in Kentucky Derby futures? Probably not, writes Ron.
VSiN news you can use . . .
Get all-access subscription through 2020 Super Bowl for just $240 — a savings of 50 percent That includes automatic entry to VSiN’s Beat the Spread Challenge with first prize of $10,000