Monday Tutorial: A Formula For Success On Betting Totals

Vegas Stats & Information Network
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Dave Tuley’s ATS report . . .

The AAF favorites (all of whom were at home) went 4-0 SU & ATS on opening weekend of the new football league; Unders were 3-1 with the only Over coming in Arizona Hotshots’ 38-22 win over Salt Lake Stallions in Sunday night’s Week 1 finale.

(From ESPN’s David Purdum: Betting interest on AAF varied book by book. Handle for Pro Bowl was almost 5x the handle on AAF games this weekend at Caesars Palace books. South Point’s Chris Andrews said AAF betting exceeded his expectations, and Westgate SuperBook reported said AAF handle was comparable to avg NCAAB game.)

NBA favorites went 4-1 SU with the only upset by the Mavericks (+3.5, +140 on ML) over the Blazers, but only 3-2 ATS as Warriors (-14) failed to cover in 120-118 win over the Heat; covering faves were the 76ers (-7), Kings (-9), Magic (-1); Overs 3-2.

NHL favorites went 5-3 Sunday with Blues, Devils & Rangers pulling upsets; Unders 5-3; 1st Period Overs 3-5 but #FollowtheMoney5 was technically 1-1 w/ Blackhawks Over and Lightning Under, but many have dropped TB (and added #6 Devils, who went Over).

No. 20 Iowa escapes with 80-79 win over Northwestern on 3-pointer with 1 second to play: NU +10.5 backers cashed but tough loss for +475 bettors on ML; in only other #CBB Top 25 action, No. 12 Houston beat No. 25 Cincinnati 65-58 as 4.5-point home fave.

Jeff Fogle’s Monday tutorial . . .

Sports bettors trying to beat Over/Unders for the first time often make the same type of mistake. Whatever the sport, they’re prone to look at team scoring averages without context. Jeff has a formula to help you bet totals.

Ron Flatter on horse racing . . .

In his first live handicapping tournament, Scott Coles of Chicago came from behind to take the lead in the next-to-last race and held on to earn the $800,000 first prize in the National Horseplayers Championship at Treasure Island in Las Vegas. Ron was there to chronicle the event.

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