Corrected link: How To Recognize Inflated Lines / Get This Week’s Point Spread Weekly

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Dave Tuley’s ATS report

  • Lakers beat Nuggets 120-116 in OT. Lakers ended up covering as 3-point road favorites; underdogs went 6-5 ATS on the night, including Nets (+4, +150 ML) beating Raptors 101-91 to snap Toronto’s 15-game winning streak; Unders 6-5.
  • Georgia Tech upset ACC leader & No. 5 Louisville 64-58. Yellow Jackets did it as 6-point home underdogs & +215 on money line.

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This is a unique issue in that a couple of events different from what we’re used to showcasing take center stage — the Daytona 500 and the NBA All-Star Game. Rest assured, though, that with the college basketball season in full swing, we dedicate plenty of coverage to that as well as hockey, the XFL, MLB, golf and MMA. In fact, this is an unusually big issue with 11 feature stories, which could be a record for the 2 1/2 years of producing this fantastic sports betting weekly publication.

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Josh Appelbaum’s Market Insights

Josh writes about how to identified inflated lines:

Inflated lines are the ultimate "contrarian" play and equally as valuable as reverse line movement, although somewhat rarer. They aren’t exactly "sharp" but are still a smart value play. However, you can’t find them in any game with a line move. It has to be an extremely heavily bet game loaded with public action. And the line needs to move further toward the lopsided public side, providing additional points to back the unpopular dog. READ MORE.

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