Thursday College Basketball Guide / Lombardi on QB Shuffle

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Wilson, Wentz Trades Alter NFL Odds, Team Outlooks

The NFL world was still buzzing from the Russell Wilson trade between the Seahawks and Broncos when it was announced on Wednesday that the Colts had traded Carson Wentz to the Washington Commanders. Indianapolis picked up draft picks and salary cap space. The Commanders got their new Commander-in-Chief on offense.

Former NFL GM Michael Lombardi has a new weekly feature at VSiN. This week’s debut article looked at the Russell Wilson trade for both the Broncos and the Seahawks. READ MORE

Michael is back on The Lombardi Line today at noon ET and he’s sure to have plenty of additional thoughts on both trades.

Adam Burke wrote about how the Wilson and Wentz trades altered the Super Bowl odds for each team. KEEP READING

Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard discussed their takes on the Russell Wilson trade on Follow The Money. WATCH NOW

Jason Weingarten also discussed the latest NFL news on Episode 64 of The Wide World of Weingarten and also touched on the MLB lockout. LISTEN HERE

Deshaun Watson to the Steelers?!

Also, our own Shaun King caused quite a stir in the Twitterverse today:

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Shaun and Tim talked about it on The Night Cap. WATCH HERE

The Month of Madness Is Here! Get VSiN All-Access for Just $19

March has arrived, bringing with it the absolute best of the college basketball season. Sign up now and get everything VSiN offers to subscribers through the National Championship Game on April 4, including:

  • VSiN Bracket Strategy Guide: Available Monday, this is your go-to resource for office pool success. It will share statistical traits and historical trends for upset victims, Cinderella teams, Final Four teams and champions, as well as strategies for bracket selection and reveal brackets from some of VSiN’s experts, including Brent Musburger and Dave Tuley.
  • VSiN Tournament Betting Guide: Available on Tuesday, this special issue focuses on what you need to know to bet on the tournament. It has in-depth statistical previews for all 68 teams as well as best bets from VSiN experts, the best tournament futures bets, betting strategies, and a breakdown of every team’s chances based on four sets of power ratings. You’ll also be able to see full brackets from Matt Youmans, Greg "Hoops" Peterson and other VSiN hosts.
  • VSiN daily best bets email: Every day during the college basketball conference tournaments and throughout the NCAA tournament, you will receive an email by noon ET with best bets from hosts and their guests.

And if that’s not enough, you get our takes on every other sport worth wagering on right now.

The Hoops Madness special is a one-time charge of $19 so it’s the perfect time to give VSiN’s All-Access package a try. BUY NOW

Thursday’s VSiN Programming

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Today’s schedule is HERE. Guests include:

  • Follow The Money (7 a.m. ET) with Mitch and Pauly starts off the day with soccer best bets from Nigel Seeley and college basketball talk with pro bettor Brian Edwards
  • Tune in to A Numbers Game (10 a.m. ET) with host Gill Alexander for more Indian Wells tennis talk and a full second hour with pro bettor Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
  • Michael Lombardi and Patrick Meagher are back on The Lombardi Line (noon ET) and you know they’ll have a lot to say about recent NFL happenings; Vinny Magliulo from the South Point also joins the show
  • Stormy Buonantony welcomes Greg "Hoops" Peterson, "Prop Queen" Ariel Epstein, pro bettor Kenny White and Derek Stevens and Mike Palm of Circa Sports on a star-studded episode of My Guys in the Desert (5 p.m. ET)
  • Evening and late night guests include Rotowire NBA editor Nick Whalen (Prime Time Action, 7 p.m. ET), DK Nation college sports editor Collin Sherwin (The Night Cap, 10 p.m. ET) and Claudia Bellofatto from the WynnBET podcast (The Lookahead, 1 a.m. ET)

​​Listen live on VSiN.com, in the VSiN App for Android or iOS, on the iHeart Radio App, via our broadcast partners. Or get one-hour segments of every show in podcast format, posted shortly after they finish. GO HERE.

Burke’s Betting Blurbs

College Basketball Rematches for Today
Readers got an inadvertent test to see whether or not they were paying attention to Wednesday’s Betting Blurb when I mistakenly said that Illinois had not made the NCAA Tournament since 2013. The Illini were, of course, a No. 1 seed last year that lost to the criminally under-seeded Loyola Chicago Ramblers in the Round of 32. Many people pointed out my mistake and I appreciate them for it. The one thing you learn immediately in this business is that nobody’s perfect, despite their best efforts to be.

It’s a new day and we move on to a couple of rematches on the docket for Thursday that I like based on what happened in the first two games. This is a valuable handicapping skill in conference tournaments and one that helped with Marshall/FIU under on Tuesday. Hopefully we get more of the same today.

TCU vs. Texas (-5.5, 125.5): An early tip to kick off the Big 12 Tournament features TCU and Texas. This feels like a pretty cut and dry handicap to me. TCU is 331st in the nation in TO% on offense. Texas is 15th in the nation in TO% on defense. The Longhorns won by 23 and by 9 in the two regular season meetings with 13 takeaways in the first game and 17 in the second game. Texas’s nine-point win featured a 1-of-14 performance from 3. Even with that, the Longhorns had 1.172 points per possession, which was their second-highest output in a conference game. Their fourth-highest was the other game against TCU. I don’t trust Texas in the NCAA Tournament, but this should be a good matchup for them again.

Quinnipiac (-1.5, 140) vs. Siena: I’m wary of going against line moves in small conferences, but I don’t understand this one. Quinnipiac had an out-of-body experience from 3 in the 77-52 win on Tuesday, going 17-of-35 while Marist went 2-of-17. Neither of those things should be repeated here, as the Bobcats moved from PK to -1.5 against the Saints.

In the two regular season games, Siena won 85-76 and 78-71, so they were fairly close, but Siena had 1.155 and 1.240 points per possession in the two games. Those were two of the team’s three highest outputs of the season. Also, these two games flew over this total, even though one was played to 63 possessions (very slow for both teams) and the other to 74 possessions (Quinnipiac’s more preferred pace). These are two solid FT shooting teams as well. I like Siena getting points and also the over, so we’ll see if this handicap plays out as it should.

-Adam Burke (aburke@vsin.com; @SkatingTripods on Twitter)

Today’s Big Sports Betting Stories

BIG DANCE HOPEFULS GO DOWN; AAC, MAC START TODAY

There were some noteworthy upsets in the early rounds of Wednesday’s conference tournament action. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons, projected as one of the "Last Four Byes", lost in the second round of the ACC Tournament to Boston College, putting them firmly on the bubble. Xavier will also be doing a lot of hoping and praying from now until Sunday after losing to Butler in overtime. The Musketeers were projected as one of the "Last Four In".

Colgate punched a ticket to the NCAA Tournament by winning the Patriot League. The nation’s No. 2 3-point shooting team is projected to be a 15 seed. No conference tournament champs will be crowned today.

Sixteen conference tournaments have started over the last two days and two more start today. It’s the most wonderful time of the year for college basketball fans and bettors. Adam Burke touched on the AAC Tournament HERE and the MAC HERE.

Matt Youmans also gave out his best bets for the power conference tournaments. READ MORE

Steve Makinen also shared some more conference tournament betting trends. GO HERE

Dave Tuley also shared his conference tournament betting strategies. KEEP READING

For more on today’s games…

Coast to Coast Hoops Podcast: Greg "Hoops" Peterson hits every single game on the board with his lines and picks on the Coast to Coast Hoops podcast. LISTEN HERE

VSiN Staff: Bookmark this page, where our experts, writers and hosts share their daily top plays for conference tournaments. GO HERE

More Greg Peterson: See Greg’s spread and total lines on a daily basis, including today’s card. GO HERE

VSiN HELP DESK – COLLEGE BASKETBALL EDITION

Back by popular demand, the VSiN Help Desk has returned! Our writers, hosts and experts are here to answer your burning college basketball questions for conference tournaments, the Big Dance or even the NIT, CBI and CIT when those fields get announced.

Adam Burke has already answered a few questions that we received primarily during the Super Bowl. Now that the Month of Madness is here, we know you have more questions and we have answers. READ MORE

Submit your questions here.

PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP UNDERWAY TODAY

Tee times begin bright and early at TPC Sawgrass, with the first groups set to go at 6:45 a.m. ET. Get those last-second bets in or look for in-tournament wagering opportunities on the guys tipped by our experts.

Check out our official tournament preview and the best bets from Wes Reynolds. READ MORE

Brady Kannon is back this week and he wrote up his favorite matchups and a primer on the event. KEEP READING

Wes and Brady also teamed up with Matt Youmans and Ryan Burr of PGA Tour Live for this week’s edition of the Long Shots Podcast. LISTEN HERE

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Josh Appelbaum’s Market Insights

Thursday’s Market Insights column covers noteworthy line movement and betting systems in college basketball that you need to know from our line-watching expert Josh Appelbaum. READ MORE

Also, be sure to listen to Josh’s latest Market Insights podcast posted at Noon ET. LISTEN HERE

Go Deeper on Your Local Teams

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VSiN betting resources

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