What You Need to Know for Friday Sweet 16 (More Upsets?) / Red Carpet Best Bets

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Tuley’s Sweet 16 report

Arkansas upset Gonzaga 74-68 as a 9.5-point underdog & +400 on the money line (stayed Under 155); Houston upset Arizona 72-60 as a 1.5-point underdog & +105 on money line (stayed Under 146.5). Dogs went 2-1 ATS Thursday with Villanova beating Michigan and Duke-Texas Tech closing PK. Dogs improved to 29-22 ATS (56.9%) while faves still lead 34-17 straight up. Unders went 3-1 Thursday and O/U now tied 26-26 overall. Dave is looking for a couple of barking dogs on Friday. Which ones? KEEP READING

Friday Sweet 16 Betting Guide

Sweet 16 analysis: Our writers, hosts and experts weighed in with best bets on each Friday Sweet 16 game (and will keep going through the championship). READ MORE

Those in Las Vegas should visit the South Point Sportsbook, the only place in town with -105 on every straight bet for the NCAA tournament!

Matt Youmans: NCAA tournament thoughts from bookmakers and Matt’s Sweet 16 picks. READ MORE

Sweet 16 Betting Previews: Breakdowns for all four Friday games on our VSiN YouTube. WATCH HERE

Coast to Coast Hoops Podcast: Greg "Hoops" Peterson hits every single game on the board with his takes. LISTEN HERE

More Greg: See Greg’s spread and total lines for this week’s games. GO HERE

Sweet 16 Trends: Steve Makinen lists off the matchups that fit for Week 2 of the Big Dance. KEEP READING

VSiN Help Desk: We answer your betting questions on the Big Dance. READ MORE. (Submit your questions here.)

Bet Tracker: See how VSiN hosts and guests did in the NCAA Tournament. GO HERE.

Ben Fawkes: Check out the list of the biggest NCAA tournament bets to win it all. GO HERE

VSiN Programming Highlights

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Friday’s schedule is HERE.

  • A big start to the day on Follow The Money (7 a.m. ET) with Nigel Seeley’s soccer picks, former Indiana and Georgia head coach Tom Crean and Mike Palm from Circa Sports
  • Host Gill Alexander on A Numbers Game (10 a.m. ET) gets weekend soccer picks from Paul Carr and chats with South Point’s Vinny Magliulo
  • Afternoon shows feature Wes Reynolds and Josh Appelbaum as guests with hosts Patrick Meagher and Michael Lombardi (The Lombardi Line, Noon ET), more NFL and Sweet 16 talk with Amal Shah and Mike Palm (Odds On, 2 p.m. ET) and then Mike Pritchard and Josh Appelbaum (Betting Across America, 3 p.m. ET) followed by Jonathan Von Tobel and Matt Youmans (The Edge, 4 p.m. ET)
  • South Point Sportsbook Director Chris Andrews calls in and Danielle Alvari shares her Sweet 16 thoughts on My Guys in the Desert (5 p.m. ET) with host Stormy Buonantony
  • Evening and nighttime shows feature Greg "Hoops" Peterson and NHL analyst Nick Alberga (Rush Hour, 6 p.m. ET), Wes joins Gill and Matt on the desk (Prime Time Action, 7 p.m. ET), Derek Stevens joins hosts Tim Murray and Shaun King with live Sweet 16 updates (The Night Cap, 10 p.m. ET) and Hoops talks college hoops (The Greg Peterson Experience, 1 a.m. ET)

Listen for free or get the VSiN Hoops Madness package and watch live at VSiN.com. You can also download the VSiN App for Android or iOS.

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Betting Splits for NBA, NHL & CBB

Get valuable betting information courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on our Betting Splits page. See where the money is coming in (and where it isn’t) with the updated bet counts and percentages. Use these to help identify sharp action, reverse line moves and the most popular sides and totals of the day.

These are updated multiple times throughout the day, so bookmark this page and check back often. GO HERE

Get a Free 10-Day Trial for VSiN Plus All-Access

Interested in becoming a VSiN subscriber? We’re willing to let you try before you buy. Sign up for a free 10-day trial and you will get:

  • VSiN Expert Best Bets: Picks and predictions from our writers, hosts and experts for every game in the NCAA tournament. SUBSCRIBERS GO HERE.
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  • MLB Betting Guide: The baseball season is almost here and your subscription through the National Championship Game will include access to our MLB Guide release next week.

You also get our takes on every other sport worth wagering on right now in Point Spread Weekly, our digital magazine for sports bettors, and on VSiN.com

BUY A SUBSCRIPTION NOW or take advantage of a FREE 10-DAY TRIAL to see what we’re all about.

Josh Appelbaum’s Market Insights

Friday’s Market Insights column is a report on today’s Sweet 16 games, as Josh looks at the line moves and analyzes where the sharp money is. READ MORE

Also, be sure to listen to Josh’s latest Market Insights podcast posted at Noon ET. LISTEN HERE

Burke’s Betting Blurbs

Early Elite Eight Saturday Thoughts

We know two of the four Elite Eight matchups, so I’ll take an early look at those as we wait to find out who else will be joining the party this weekend.

Houston (-2.5, 128.5) vs. Villanova: There are always bones to pick with the Selection Committee. Turning Houston into a No. 5 seed seems to be this year’s biggest. The Cougars were a metrics darling all season long, ranked in the top-five for the majority of the year at both KenPom and Bart Torvik’s websites. Yet, somehow, they were barely deemed worthy of being ranked as one of the top 20 teams in the NCAA tournament.

Kelvin Sampson coached an absolute clinic against Tommy Lloyd and Arizona. Kerr Kriisa was a giant liability again and the rookie head coach didn’t have the wherewithal to bench him, but that wasn’t all. Houston out-toughed and outclassed Arizona in the major areas of the game.

Now Houston draws Villanova in a matchup of arguably the two best coaches in college basketball. This game will be a slog. It will be a war. It will be a very popular under bet. The spread may simply come down to how Villanova shoots from 3 because getting inside will be a struggle. Collin Gillespie is also less than 100%. Houston has shined against a much stronger path in the NCAA tournament. My initial thought is to look at Houston here, but the under also makes a ton of sense.

Arkansas vs. Duke (-4, 147): Gonzaga missed a lot of open looks early and Chet Holmgren got into foul trouble with a soft whistle. In the end, Arkansas did something only one other team did this season and that was hold the Bulldogs to under .900 points per possession. It will take a similar defensive effort against a Duke team that has managed to turn it on at just the right time in each of the last two games.

Duke has looked largely pedestrian for 35 minutes against Michigan State and Texas Tech, but has flipped the switch late and advanced. Duke’s main defensive weakness lies on the perimeter, where Arkansas shoots a very low percentage, hitting under 31% on 3s and only 35% on long 2s. Duke’s offense is shooting 60.5% on 2s in this tournament so far. The defense is the worry, but Arkansas is not a good offensive team. The Blue Devils match up pretty well here. Eric Musselman should have the coaching edge, but my initial thought is to favor the Duke side.

– Adam Burke (aburke@vsin.com; @SkatingTripods on Twitter)

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Check Out Our Experts at VSiN.com

  • Michael Lombardi: Analysis of the Deshaun Watson contract and why Falcons Under might be a good win total bet. KEEP READING
  • Andy MacNeil: Check out Andy’s NHL best bets and market report every day (posted mid-to-late morning). READ MORE
  • Jonathan Von Tobel: Check out JVT’s NBA best bets and market report every weekday (posted mid-to-late morning). READ MORE
  • Dave Tuley: A recap of what’s happening in the sports betting world and best bets for Friday in the "Tuley’s Takes" column. KEEP READING
  • Jason Weingarten: Read about Jason’s trip to Vegas and the MLB futures bets he made around town. READ MORE (also catch Episode 67 of The Wide World of Weingarten HERE)

Big Weekend in Sports & Entertainment

The Elite Eight is coming up this weekend, but there are also other great betting opportunities on the board. We’ve got you covered right here at VSiN.com.

UFC

The UFC heads to Columbus, Ohio with a main event in the heavyweight division between Curtis Blaydes and Chris Daukaus. Lou Finocchiaro has thoughts on that fight and also Ilir Latifi vs. Aleksei Oleinik. READ MORE

Catch Dave Ross and Reed Kuhn on First Strike First Look with a quick breakdown of the main event, plus Matt Brown vs. Bryan Barberena. A full edition of First Strike will be released today. LISTEN HERE

NASCAR

Our VSiN NASCAR Hub has all the information you need to make smart, informed wagers on the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix. GO HERE

The Gone Racin’ guys Brendan Gaughan and Jeff Motley previewed this week’s unique race, as NASCAR goes to COTA for just the second time. LISTEN HERE

HORSE RACING

Jeremy Plonk shared his thoughts on the Dubai World Cup and the Louisiana Derby, one of the Kentucky Derby prep races. READ MORE

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OSCARS

The 94th Academy Awards are on Sunday night and VSiN producer Brian Ortega shared his best bets for some of the evening’s categories. KEEP READING.
>>Check out the DraftKings Oscars odds.

Go Deeper on Your Local Teams

Want more sports betting analysis on your hometown teams?

Our roster of sports betting analysts bring you updates on local news surrounding your favorite teams the new CityCast podcast network, brought to you by BetRivers, your hometown sportsbook.

VSiN betting resources

  • VIDEO: Replays are posted HERE.
  • LIVE ODDS: Comparisons from legal states HERE.
  • TOOLS: Parlay calculator posted HERE.
  • BETTING SHEETS: From South Point and Circa posted HERE

A "How To Guide" for Betting on Sports

New to betting on sports? Need a refresher? Learn how to bet like the pros or pick up on some different strategies that you may not have considered in our Sports Betting 101 series. GO HERE

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